Interpretation of the Political Bureau Meeting in December by CITIC Securities: It is estimated that the reverse repo rate will drop by 40-50bps next year, and the LPR and loan interest rates may drop even more. CITIC Securities Research Report pointed out that a new round of policy starting guns will be fired, and the policy inflection point will be reconfirmed, making it clear that the macro policy will be strengthened and effective in 2025. From the perspective of fiscal policy, the meeting called for the implementation of a "more active fiscal policy" and enriched the policy toolbox, which may indicate that in 2025, both deficit ratio in a narrow sense and deficit ratio in a broad sense will be significantly improved, and the focus of policy development is also expected to be marginal in the field of people's livelihood consumption. From the perspective of monetary policy, this Politburo meeting calls for the implementation of a moderately loose monetary policy. This is the first time that China has implemented a moderately loose monetary policy after 2010. It is estimated that the reverse repo rate will drop by 40-50bps next year, and the LPR and loan interest rates may drop even more. From the perspective of domestic demand policy, the statement of expanding domestic demand in an all-round way, especially "vigorously boosting consumption", exceeds market expectations. With the support of the existing policies coming into effect and the policy of increasing domestic demand, the improvement of domestic demand may have strong certainty and sustainability. In addition, in terms of structural policies, on the one hand, the meeting clearly stated that it is necessary to "stabilize the property market and the stock market", and the importance of the stock market continues to be highlighted, and real estate is still in the policy landing period; On the other hand, the meeting emphasized that "scientific and technological innovation leads the development of new quality productive forces", and new industries and future industries are expected to receive further policy support.Double coke futures continued to rise, and the main coke contract rose more than 5% in the day, and it is now reported at 1901 yuan/ton. The main contract of coking coal rose by more than 4% in the day, and is now reported at 1200.5 yuan/ton.Morgan Stanley upgraded the rating of Reddit stock of US Post Bar from "hold" to "overweight", and raised it to a 12-month target price of up to $200, from the lowest target price on Wall Street to the highest target price on Wall Street.
Wenfeng shares: There is no plan to discuss cooperation and reform with Fat Donglai at present. wenfeng shares said on the interactive platform on December 9 that the company has no plan to discuss cooperation and reform with Fat Donglai at present.Brent crude oil stood at $72/barrel, up 1.57% in the day.VIVENDI shareholders approve the company split plan.
USD/JPY of USD/JPY hit 151, rising by 0.75% in the day.Many houses were blown, and now it is up by 114.46%.More than 80,000 people will be evacuated in the Philippines due to the eruption of Mount Canraon, and more than half of the residents are in "dangerous" areas. According to the news of the Philippine Civil Defence Bureau on December 9, due to the eruption of Mount Canraon, the Philippines needs to evacuate about 87,000 residents near the volcano urgently. Among them, the situation in Terrana, lacasse is particularly serious, where about 46,900 people live in the dangerous area of 4-6 kilometers of the Calaon volcano.
Strategy guide
12-13
Strategy guide 12-13
Strategy guide
12-13
Strategy guide
Strategy guide
12-13
Strategy guide 12-13
Strategy guide
12-13